The 37% Rule: Mastering Life's Decisions 🧠🎲

Facebook

X

Use of scripts:“Mastering Life’s Decisions Through Algorithms
Imagine you’re hunting for an apartment in one of the toughest cities to find a place, like San Francisco. You only have a limited time to look, and as each new apartment comes onto the market, you either have to commit immediately or let it go forever. This was exactly the situation a friend of mine found himself in not too long ago, and as the days went by, he grew more anxious. He visited apartment after apartment, each one a little better or a little worse than the last, and every time, he left thinking, “Is this the best I’m going to find, or should I keep looking?”
What he didn’t know was that his problem had a clear solution, and it’s something computers use every day: the 37% rule. According to this rule, you should spend the first 37% of your time gathering data without committing. Once you’ve hit that mark, take the first option that is better than what you’ve seen so far. It’s a surprisingly efficient strategy that applies not only to apartment hunting but to any decision where you have to stop at the right moment, like hiring an employee, choosing a parking spot, or even picking a life partner. My friend didn’t know this at the time, but once he hit the 37% mark of his month-long search, he committed to the next great apartment—and, as it turned out, it was the best choice he could’ve made.
Now, it’s not always easy to know when to stop looking, especially when the stakes are high, but this rule gives us a way to balance looking and leaping. It’s about knowing when you’ve gathered enough information to make a confident decision without endlessly second-guessing yourself. As the 37% rule suggests, making informed decisions doesn’t mean chasing perfection. It means timing your commitment just right.
Speaking of timing, let’s talk about the everyday struggle of finding a parking space. Donald Shoup, an urban planner who has spent decades studying parking, believes that drivers spend far too much time circling blocks, searching for that perfect parking spot close to their destination. I know a friend who once spent nearly 20 minutes circling the block, passing by open spaces again and again, each time thinking, “Maybe there’s something closer.” By the time he finally settled for a spot far from where he needed to be, he was exhausted, frustrated, and late.
What Shoup’s research shows us is that parking, too, is an optimal stopping problem. The secret is knowing when to stop searching and take the next available spot. The longer you search, the more likely you are to waste time and fuel. Shoup argues that cities should reduce the occupancy rate of parking spaces by adjusting prices, aiming for an 85% occupancy rate rather than the nearly 100% we often see. That 15% availability would mean fewer cars cruising endlessly, reducing traffic and pollution. My friend could have saved himself time and stress had he known about the Look-Then-Leap strategy. The takeaway here is simple: sometimes, the “good enough” option is the best one.
This brings us to one of the most fascinating applications of the 37% rule: finding love. Let’s take Michael, a mathematician who applied this strategy to his own dating life. He had calculated, based on his age, that he would probably meet a certain number of women in his lifetime, and he decided to wait until he had dated 37% of that number before committing to the next woman who seemed better than all the others. The math was solid. He dated a number of women, hit his 37% mark, and then found someone who, by all measures, seemed perfect. So, naturally, he proposed.
But here’s the twist—she said no.
It turns out that while algorithms can help you make optimal decisions, they can’t predict human emotions. Michael’s story reminds us that love, like parking or apartment hunting, is about timing—but it’s also about being flexible when life doesn’t follow the numbers. And yet, Michael didn’t give up. Later, he met someone else, fell in love, and, following his gut this time, made a commitment that worked out beautifully. While the 37% rule can guide us in timing when to stop, we must also be willing to adapt when the human heart throws a curveball.
Each of these stories brings us back to the same essential truth: life is full of decisions where we must balance the desire to explore new options with the need to exploit the ones we’ve already found. Whether it’s finding an apartment, choosing a parking spot, or searching for love, the 37% rule gives us a framework for knowing when to act. However, as we see with Michael’s story, life doesn’t always fit neatly into a formula. While algorithms can guide our choices, they can’t control everything, and sometimes, we must trust our instincts and be prepared for the unexpected.
As we’ve seen, decisions are rarely about finding the perfect solution; they’re about finding the best possible solution given the circumstances. The 37% rule teaches us that perfection is elusive, and it’s more productive to make decisions based on timing and the information we have than to endlessly search for a perfect outcome. Whether you're circling the block for a parking spot or looking for the love of your life, at some point, you have to commit.”

Title Usage:“Algorithms to Live By：The Computer Science of Human Decisions · A fascinating exploration of how computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives, helping to solve common decision-making problems and illuminate the workings of the human mind”

Content in English. Title in English.Bilingual English-Chinese subtitles.
This is a comprehensive summary of the book
Using Hollywood production values and cinematic style.
Music is soft.
Characters are portrayed as European and American

Use This Prompt

Home
Light Mode

Hashtags

Educational
Cinematic
Informative
Documentary
短视频
Animation
Short-form
教育